Tracing the range shifts of African tree ferns: Insights from the last glacial maximum and beyond
CUNY and NYBG grad student John Mwihaki (MJ) and Emily Sessa published a paper entitled “Tracing the range shifts of African tree ferns: Insights from the last glacial maximum and beyond”. This study uses distribution modeling techniques to evaluate the distribution of several tree fern species in Africa through time, from the Last Glacial Maximum through two future climate change scenarios.
African tropical forests are experiencing rapid decline as a result of several factors, including increasing population pressure, recurrent wildfires, selective logging practices, land use changes, intensified agricultural activities, and other social and economic issues. Using MaxEnt, paleoclimatic data, and future climate scenarios, this study seeks to explore the presence of tree ferns in tropical and Saharan Africa during the Last Glacial Maximum, African Holocene Humid Period (AHHP; ca. 14,500–5000 years ago) and to project the effects of climate change on the distribution of tree ferns in Africa under two future climatic scenarios, Representation Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5.
(Science Direct, March 2024
NYBG Contact: Emily Sessa)